Beta — Pro desk is free while we finish the site. Payments paused.
n=100 · Simcage Pro
100-sim board
UFC 331 desk. Numbers are model output, not a ticket we place. Archived desk. Read-only.
Betting styles
model angle, not a ticket we place.
Safe
- Steveson · DEC. model angle, not a ticket we place.
No safe parlay on this card.
Aggressive
- Steveson · DEC · R3. model angle, not a ticket we place.
- Tsarukyan · DEC. model angle, not a ticket we place.
Parlay: Steveson, Tsarukyan. model angle, not a ticket we place.
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASS48%
Van
52%
Pantoja
PASS — coin-flip. No clear angle.
16%
KO/TKO
30%
SUB
54%
DEC
No official side — rematch tax
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 54%
Van walks forward until the pocket is his. Pantoja waits for the hip, the back, the minute that turns a scramble into a chain. The first fight ended in a blink. This one only stays a blink if Van lands clean again. Desk does not need a 52/48 title ticket.
Van is the champ. Five rounds still belong to the man who chains.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 VAN KO R2 8.9min #002 VAN KO R3 9min #003 VAN DEC R5 9.1min #004 VAN SUB R5 9.2min #005 VAN KO R1 9.3min #006 VAN DEC R5 9.4min #007 PANTOJA KO R3 9.5min #008 PANTOJA DEC R5 9.6min #009 PANTOJA KO R5 8.8min #010 PANTOJA SUB R1 8.9min #011 PANTOJA KO R2 9min #012 PANTOJA DEC R5 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PLAY71%
Tsarukyan
29%
Ruffy
Best plays · Tsarukyan 71% · DEC lean 66% · distance 66%. Not our ticket.
20%
KO/TKO
14%
SUB
66%
DEC
0.75u · Tsarukyan ML
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 66%
Tsarukyan wrestles the fight into a job. Ruffy has to keep it a kickboxing match for five rounds against a man who does not give those minutes away. Desk takes the wrestle, not the knockout.
Control for twenty-five minutes is the product. Not a finish prop.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 TSARUKYAN KO R2 8.9min #002 TSARUKYAN KO R3 9min #003 TSARUKYAN DEC R5 9.1min #004 TSARUKYAN SUB R5 9.2min #005 TSARUKYAN KO R1 9.3min #006 TSARUKYAN DEC R5 9.4min #007 TSARUKYAN KO R3 9.5min #008 TSARUKYAN SUB R4 9.6min #009 TSARUKYAN DEC R5 8.8min #010 RUFFY SUB R1 8.9min #011 RUFFY KO R2 9min #012 RUFFY DEC R5 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PLAY58%
Pitbull
42%
Choi
Best plays · Pitbull 58% · no single method lean · finish lean 56%. Not our ticket.
48%
KO/TKO
8%
SUB
44%
DEC
0.5u · Pitbull ML
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 44%
Two finishers who do not hide. Choi’s right hand is real. Pitbull’s mix is wider, and he has been in uglier rooms. Desk takes the more complete veteran, not the highlight.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 PITBULL KO R2 8.9min #002 PITBULL KO R3 9min #003 PITBULL DEC R3 9.1min #004 PITBULL SUB R2 9.2min #005 PITBULL KO R3 9.3min #006 PITBULL DEC R3 9.4min #007 PITBULL KO R2 9.5min #008 CHOI DEC R3 9.6min #009 CHOI KO R1 8.8min #010 CHOI SUB R2 8.9min #011 CHOI KO R3 9min #012 CHOI DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PLAY76%
Steveson
24%
Sharaf
Best plays · Steveson 76% · DEC lean 60% · distance 60%. Not our ticket.
18%
KO/TKO
22%
SUB
60%
DEC
0.5u · Steveson ML
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 60%
World-class wrestle versus a short UFC sample. Desk takes the athlete. Desk does not take the finish prop — Steveson can hold a man down for fifteen minutes without hunting a highlight.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 STEVESON KO R2 8.9min #002 STEVESON KO R3 9min #003 STEVESON DEC R3 9.1min #004 STEVESON SUB R2 9.2min #005 STEVESON KO R3 9.3min #006 STEVESON DEC R3 9.4min #007 STEVESON KO R2 9.5min #008 STEVESON SUB R3 9.6min #009 STEVESON DEC R3 8.8min #010 SHARAF SUB R2 8.9min #011 SHARAF KO R3 9min #012 SHARAF DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASSFree preview53%
Menifield
47%
Baraniewski
PASS — coin-flip. No clear angle.
52%
KO/TKO
8%
SUB
40%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 40%
Power versus power at 205. Baraniewski is unbeaten and heavy-handed. Menifield has been in the deep end. Variance eats half-units. Desk sits.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 MENIFIELD KO R2 8.9min #002 MENIFIELD KO R3 9min #003 MENIFIELD DEC R3 9.1min #004 MENIFIELD SUB R2 9.2min #005 MENIFIELD KO R3 9.3min #006 MENIFIELD DEC R3 9.4min #007 BARANIEWSKI KO R2 9.5min #008 BARANIEWSKI DEC R3 9.6min #009 BARANIEWSKI KO R1 8.8min #010 BARANIEWSKI SUB R2 8.9min #011 BARANIEWSKI KO R3 9min #012 BARANIEWSKI DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASSFree preview51%
Vera
49%
Jourdain
PASS — coin-flip. No clear angle.
34%
KO/TKO
16%
SUB
50%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 50%
Fun fight, no edge. Vera’s calf kick versus Jourdain’s length and scramble. Desk watches it from the room.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 VERA KO R2 8.9min #002 VERA KO R3 9min #003 VERA DEC R3 9.1min #004 VERA SUB R2 9.2min #005 VERA KO R3 9.3min #006 VERA DEC R3 9.4min #007 JOURDAIN KO R2 9.5min #008 JOURDAIN DEC R3 9.6min #009 JOURDAIN KO R1 8.8min #010 JOURDAIN SUB R2 8.9min #011 JOURDAIN KO R3 9min #012 JOURDAIN DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PLAY55%
Tuivasa
45%
Despaigne
Best plays · Tuivasa 55% · KO/TKO lean 74% · finish lean 76%. Not our ticket.
74%
KO/TKO
2%
SUB
24%
DEC
0.5u · Under 2.5 rounds
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 24%
Two heavy hands. Desk does not pick a side. Desk picks the clock. R1 is the fattest bar on purpose.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 TUIVASA KO R2 8.9min #002 TUIVASA KO R3 9min #003 TUIVASA DEC R3 9.1min #004 TUIVASA SUB R2 9.2min #005 TUIVASA KO R3 9.3min #006 TUIVASA DEC R3 9.4min #007 TUIVASA KO R2 9.5min #008 DESPAIGNE DEC R3 9.6min #009 DESPAIGNE KO R1 8.8min #010 DESPAIGNE SUB R2 8.9min #011 DESPAIGNE KO R3 9min #012 DESPAIGNE DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASS49%
Shahbazyan
51%
Ferreira
PASS — coin-flip. No clear angle.
56%
KO/TKO
10%
SUB
34%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 34%
Middleweight power on both sides. Shahbazyan’s first five still live in the tape. Ferreira walks through fire. Coin-flip finish fight. Desk does not chase it.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 SHAHBAZYAN KO R2 8.9min #002 SHAHBAZYAN KO R3 9min #003 SHAHBAZYAN DEC R3 9.1min #004 SHAHBAZYAN SUB R2 9.2min #005 SHAHBAZYAN KO R3 9.3min #006 SHAHBAZYAN DEC R3 9.4min #007 FERREIRA KO R2 9.5min #008 FERREIRA DEC R3 9.6min #009 FERREIRA KO R1 8.8min #010 FERREIRA SUB R2 8.9min #011 FERREIRA KO R3 9min #012 FERREIRA DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASS47%
Chikadze
53%
Brito
PASS — coin-flip. No clear angle.
38%
KO/TKO
14%
SUB
48%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 48%
Chikadze needs space and a calf. Brito needs the pocket and the wrestle. Slight nod to the man who makes it ugly. Not enough for a unit.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 CHIKADZE KO R2 8.9min #002 CHIKADZE KO R3 9min #003 CHIKADZE DEC R3 9.1min #004 CHIKADZE SUB R2 9.2min #005 CHIKADZE KO R3 9.3min #006 CHIKADZE DEC R3 9.4min #007 BRITO KO R2 9.5min #008 BRITO DEC R3 9.6min #009 BRITO KO R1 8.8min #010 BRITO SUB R2 8.9min #011 BRITO KO R3 9min #012 BRITO DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PLAY56%
O’Neill
44%
Moura
Best plays · O’Neill 56% · DEC lean 66% · distance 66%. Not our ticket.
12%
KO/TKO
22%
SUB
66%
DEC
0.25u · O’Neill ML
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 66%
Wrestle-boxer versus a grappler who wants the mat on her terms. Desk takes O’Neill’s pace at a quarter unit. The 72 on R3 is the decision, not a leftover dump.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 ONEILL KO R2 8.9min #002 ONEILL KO R3 9min #003 ONEILL DEC R3 9.1min #004 ONEILL SUB R2 9.2min #005 ONEILL KO R3 9.3min #006 ONEILL DEC R3 9.4min #007 ONEILL KO R2 9.5min #008 MOURA DEC R3 9.6min #009 MOURA KO R1 8.8min #010 MOURA SUB R2 8.9min #011 MOURA KO R3 9min #012 MOURA DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASS58%
Gandra
42%
Diaz
PASS — no clear angle in the 100.
36%
KO/TKO
16%
SUB
48%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 48%
Gandra’s first two UFC finishes were blinks. Diaz is longer and has been in worse rooms. Slight nod to the finisher. Not a ticket yet.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 GANDRA KO R2 8.9min #002 GANDRA KO R3 9min #003 GANDRA DEC R3 9.1min #004 GANDRA SUB R2 9.2min #005 GANDRA KO R3 9.3min #006 GANDRA DEC R3 9.4min #007 GANDRA KO R2 9.5min #008 DIAZ DEC R3 9.6min #009 DIAZ KO R1 8.8min #010 DIAZ SUB R2 8.9min #011 DIAZ KO R3 9min #012 DIAZ DEC R3 9.1min
Simcage Pro · n=100
PASS44%
Aswell
56%
Yoo
PASS — no clear angle in the 100.
40%
KO/TKO
12%
SUB
48%
DEC
Finish-round histogram
Goes the distance 48%
Prospect noise on the early prelims. Yoo’s hands are the tape. Aswell has to make it a grind. Desk waits.
Raw log excerpt (first 12 rows)
#001 ASWELL KO R2 8.9min #002 ASWELL KO R3 9min #003 ASWELL DEC R3 9.1min #004 ASWELL SUB R2 9.2min #005 ASWELL KO R3 9.3min #006 YOO DEC R3 9.4min #007 YOO KO R2 9.5min #008 YOO DEC R3 9.6min #009 YOO KO R1 8.8min #010 YOO SUB R2 8.9min #011 YOO KO R3 9min #012 YOO DEC R3 9.1min
n=100 Monte Carlo from public UFC.com / ufcstats / Tapology tape plus this-week news. Model output, not a guarantee, not a ticket we place. Research only.